Dassault Rafale: Oui ou non?
The Dassault Rafale. |
The Dassault Rafale is like like the neglected middle sibling of the "Eurocanard" family. The Typhoon is the star quarterback, getting attention for his wins, his performance, and popularity. The Saab Gripen is the youngest and smallest, impressing everyone with how clever and easy it is to get along with it is. The Rafale... Well, it just focuses on being independent and hard working.
Originally a member of the same group that went on do develop the Eurofighter, France backed out early in the program. It was clear that what France wanted was not in sync with Germany and Britain. Germany and Britain were in need of a air superiority fighter to rival the MiG-29s and Su-27s that the Soviets had just unveiled. France, on the other hand, was looking for a more balanced and affordable multirole fighter to replace its aging fleet of aircraft, both in the air force (Armée de l'air) and Navy (Marine Nationale). It was also looking to secure its own military aircraft industry, and it was unhappy with not having a stronger say in what would become the Typhoon's development. Instead, France went off on its own and developed the Dassault Rafale.
Much like the Eurofighter Typhoon, the Rafale's development was delayed thanks to end of the Cold War and France's military budget being slashed as a "peace dividend". Eventually, the Rafale was placed in production to begin replacing outdated Mirage 2000s, F1s, Jaguars, and Super Etendards. The Rafale M is now the sole fighter of France's navy and is the flagship of France's air force. Since its procurement, the Rafale has proven its worth in combat over Afghanistan, Libya and now, Mali.
A Rafale on its way to Mali. |
Will it fit? Probably. |
The Rafale is no slouch in the air-superiority role either, it is highly manoeuvrable and it is capable of supercruise while carrying a light load. It's top speed is slightly higher than a CF-18. The Rafale doesn't quite enjoy the Typhoon's air superiority reputation, but it should be capable enough at the hands of a competent pilot.
For detection, the Rafale is available with a modern AESA radar and IRST (infrared search and track).
Various components of the Rafale's SPECTRA ECM system. |
Another key selling point of the Rafale is its SPECTRA electronic counter measure (ECM) system. This gives the Rafale a "semi-stealth" capability when combined with its construction of radar absorbing materials. This enables it to avoid enemy detection by sending out false signals, decoys, or simply jamming enemy radar.
A Rafale M on landing on a aircraft carrier. |
All together, the Rafale offers a compelling option. It offers great versatility, robustness, and survivability. It appears to be an easy sell for those who believe the Gripen is simply too small and the Typhoon is too expensive and specialized. But it is right for Canada?
Not quite.
Although much of the marketing behind the Rafale emphasizes its lower cost compared to the Eurofighter Typhoon, recent sales do not seem to agree with this. Indeed, the Typhoon and Gripen have been far more popular on the export market, with India's recent purchase being the only foreign sale of the Rafale thus far. A future sale to Brazil is possible, but the Rafale needs to prove its value over the much cheaper Super Hornet and Gripen to do so.
One of the more controversial lost Rafale sales was Switzerland. After an extensive competition comparing the Typhoon, Rafale, and Gripen; the Gripen NG was chosen. The Rafale was said to have more capability, but Dassault could only offer 16 Rafales for the same cost as 22 Saab Gripens Es.
French fighter... French munitions. |
Although Dassault's website promises the ability to mount "Customer-selected weapons", the Rafale is currently outfitted to handle predominantly French made missiles. It will be compatible with the upcoming MBDA Meteor, but will only share a one-way datalink with the missile, rather than the two-way datalink the Meteor will have with the Gripen and Typhoon.
The Rafale's weapon compatibility isn't such a big deal for India, it currently flies the Dassault Mirage and is already equipped with a stockpile of French munitions. Canada, however, would have to make the decision to either replace our current stockpile of American AMRAAMs, Sidewinders, Mavericks, and Harpoons for French Micas, Hammers, and Exocets; or wait (and pay) for the Rafale to be tested and cleared for Canada's current weapon stockpile. Any price advantage the the Rafale has over the Typhoon could easily be eliminated by extra costs inherited with its weapon systems.
Is there such a thing as "Too French"? |
Dassault's recent deal with India included manufacturing the majority of Indian Rafales in India. Whether or not Canada could get the same deal is unknown. It isn't as likely however, as India has ordered substantially more Rafales than Canada potentially would. (as many as 189 vs. 65-70)
If I were to rank Canada's choices for its next jet fighter, the Rafale would probably be tied for second place with the Typhoon (with the F-35 4th and the Super Hornet a distant 5th). Although it lacks the Typhoon's ferocity in the air, it makes up for it with its (percieved) cheaper cost and superior ground attack ability. Much like the Typhoon, Canada's potential purchase of a Rafale would depend on a lot of factors that come to light at the negotiation table: Price, industrial offsets and future support.
Hey, have you seen that?
ReplyDeletehttp://skiesmag.com/news/articles/19534-rafale-and-f-35.html
After Super Hornet, Gripen and Eurofighter, we have finally Rafale and F-35 analysis by "Canadian Skies".
I must say the Rafale part was pretty fair. Like you, the author thinks equipment compatibility, and especially armaments, is the main issue with Rafale for Canada.
But his judgement is a bit fast about bombs : in my opinion, bombs integration is an easier task than missiles integration. For at least two reasons :
- I think only 2 hardpoints need to be cleared, allowing a six bombs capability with "tri-bombs" pylon.
- GPS-guided weapons are fire-and-forget while AAM need an aircraft-missile datalink.
The cost comparison between JDAM and AASM Hammer is also biaised about two things :
- JDAM unit cost is for USAF and only applicable for the huge amount probably ordered by them.
- AASM cost is... I don't know from where that $300,000 price comes from! Anyway AASM is said to reach a $270,000 price, INCLUDING DEVELOPMENT.
But the best is in the beginning : "Paris required a single aircraft type to replace seven that were in service during the 1970s: the Mirage F.1, III, IV and 3000, the F-8 Crusader and the Étendard IV and Super Étendard."
Mirage III? Mirage 3000??? Even in French medias, the correct list of seven is hard to find, so that's not a big error.
Finally, the only thing I completely disagree is about F-35 : "The F-35 likely offers the best long-term capability at the best cost"
ReplyDeleteI have read the recent CBC business article on the Dassault Rafale a couple of times now.
I am not a pilot and I am not knowledgable enough to properly assess technical comparisons but I do read the news.
It seems to me that those who do know how to make the comparisons rate the Rafale more or less 'up there' with the competition on most if not all metrics. And Dassault is proposing a guarantee that Cdn taxpayers would see 100% of their money spent in Canada manufacturing under license were we to choose the Rafale as the CF 18 replacement. With 100% technology transfer which would presumably include all upgrades to the plane itself and all weapons and ECM sytems.
How would the Rafale have performed in missions we have been involved since WW2? How would it perform in future mission scenarios that may differ from those we have participated in?
That is the line of questioning that interests me for the Rafale or any other contender.
If the money we spent on this fighter or something similar was all spent on high quality jobs in Canada then would that not free up money to spend on for example developing and improving systems to detect 'stealthy' planes along with hypersonic SAMS and to shoot down those who would violate our air space?
I grew up on RCAF bases and I loved watching the Sabres, the CF100s, the CF5s, the Voodoos, the CF104s etc. But it depressed me later when I began to understand what happened to the Avro Arrow. Also I began to read Vietnam air war narratives and I realized that Voodoos and 104s played a rather limited and only early role in that ill conceived and conducted enterprise-I have a suspicion they were being phased out by the USAF for better planes like the Phantom and the Thunderchief just as Canada was building up our fleet of the old stuff to keep 'Uncle' happy.
I think all that needs to be said about the Rafale's suitability is that it will be France's predominant fighter for the foreseeable future.
DeleteBy rights, if its good enough for France, a nation that spends far more on defense than we do, than it should be good enough for Canada.
Chris, i tried to answer your questions in a series of articles on ottawa citizen blog. These articles were meant to praise Rafale qualities, but data are accurate.
ReplyDeleteOK Yves, I read your most excellent 3 articles on the Rafale, thanks for the heads up. One thing you point out that really bothers me is that some other countries that are buying the JSF35 are either planning to keep and upgrade their air superiority fighters or will tender specs for new schemes to keep their '35s safe. Does the Cdn DOD have such contingency plans and if not why not?
DeleteAs has been voiced by many other critics we have a growing abundance of geese and other big birds that could crater a jet engine sharing the Cdn skies. To those not skilled in the art of whom I am one it seems a little suspicious to think we would not loose at least one fighter in many thousands of hours and several decades of operation with a fleet operating a single engined type. Furthermore, nothing being certain in times of conflict, with a single engine fighter might not decision makers who saw something birdlike on a radar screen be tempted to avoid the possibility and not scramble in a moment of crisis?
Between what you have written and the high praise Doug Allen has re 'By rights if its good enough for France, a nation that spends a lot more than'... etc.. I should think the new and preliminary Dassault/French govt proposals deserve a most close and thorough scrutiny by those serious minded decision makers who are planning without bias the future of the RCAF.
It's a really interesting article. However, although it's not very old, a lot of things have happened since it was written. First, the deal with India give us a much better idea of the cost: 90-100 millions / unit. Which is not cheap, but a lot better than either the F-35 or Typhoon. Still somewhat higher than the Super Hornet, but not to the point it becomes an unaffordable option for Canada.
ReplyDeleteAs Chris mentioned above, and as we have seen in numerous publications, we now know that the offsets of the Rafale will be huge. I really doubt that EADS could match this. Boeing could use leverage from other programs (civil or military) to add offsets to a Super Hornet deal, but that remains to be seen. The only thing that we know for sure is that, actually, no other competitor come close to Dassault for offsets. And, according to the new canadian policy, this should really weight in for the Rafale case.
The main disadvantage of the Rafale still remains the question of armament compatibility. Although Dassault said it should work and pose no technical problem, it's not enough. Canadian jetfighters have to be fully compatible with american armament, this is not an option. When on coalition missions, our planes operate from american airbases where they are rearmed directly from the american stockpiles, the americans sending us the bill afterward. In this context, compatibility with american armaments should be a certitude, not just “it should work, but we haven't try it and don't know how difficult or costly it will be to make it work”. However, there's still time for Dassault to address this question before a competition. If they do their homework, they should present a detailed analysis of the cost and difficulties related to this. If they say it's a simple thing, demonstrating a Rafale armed with standard american armament, even if not cleared for operational use, would go a long way to support the case of the Rafale.
So, with these new informations and the Gripen out, I would put the Rafale tied in 1st position with the Advanced Super Hornet. If Dassault provides a satisfying answer to the armament question, the Rafale would be very hard to ignore. If no answer other than “it should technically work” is given, the Super Hornet will be the logical choice.
I don't think the Typhoon has any chance because of its cost. If Canada was willing to pay such a high price tag, we would have bought F-15 a long time ago. If the F-15 was, and still is, too pricey than the Typhoon is also.
Rafales dropped lot of US ordonnace over Libya and Mali... GBU ect...
ReplyDeleteFor missiles and ordonnace, there is a d"depletence" date : So for somme ordonnace no problem, for the others, i will be good to check if it's make any differente to rebuy Us or Buy american.
You might want to mention the costs associated with the Rafale in India. $20 billion+ for 126 aircraft. Includes local production and tech transfer but the price is still eye gouging. Figures go all the way to $30 billion with support and weapons costs included.
ReplyDeleteAnother factor you might consider in Canada's context is the degree of compatibility with the US aircraft, since the RCAF will almost certainly be fighting in conjunction with the USAF.
Dassault representatives claim that the Rafale is fully compatible but its not. The Rafale employs the NATO standard Link 16 while the USAF will eventually transition entirely to the F-35 and will rely on the its LPI datalinks (MADL) for communication.